FiveThirtyEight

Blog URL:http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
Blog Tags:politics, analysis, statistics, predictions, forecast, government, elections

In-depth analysis and statistical models on political happenings



Latest Blog Posts



One of the biggest news stories over the past few weeks has been the Trump administration’s handling of hurricane relief in multiple states and territories. How have those efforts affected President Trump’s approval ratings? Watch the vid...

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Today’s theme song: “Final Frontier” from the television show “Mad About You.” Poll of the week President Trump has been hammered for the government’s response to Hurricane Maria and th...

On July 31, I made what will surely be the single most entertaining bet of my NFL season, a down-to-the-wire nail-biter that this Sunday is manifested in either total glory or unspeakable defeat: Who on Earth would be the starting quarterbacks for Je...

California Gov. Jerry Brown made one of the biggest moves yet in the 2020 Democratic primary last week. He didn’t declare his candidacy or make a “random” visit to Iowa. He signed a law that moved the state’s 2020 presidential primary fro...

Welcome to The Riddler. Every week, I offer up problems related to the things we hold dear around here: math, logic and probability. There are two types: Riddler Express for those of you who want something bite-size and Riddler Classic for those of y...

Since 1990, qualifying for the World Cup has seemed like a birthright for the U.S. men’s national team. In the three decades since it last failed to qualify for a World Cup (1986), all of England, France, Portugal, Uruguay and the Netherlands have...

You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. Title VII Attorney General Jeff Sessions has changed a federal policy with a memo to agency heads and U.S. attorneys indicating that Title VII’s sex disc...