FiveThirtyEight

Blog URL:http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
Blog Tags:politics, analysis, statistics, predictions, forecast, government, elections

In-depth analysis and statistical models on political happenings



Latest Blog Posts



Major League Baseball seems to be on an unstoppable pathway to more and more strikeouts. After a record share of plate appearances ended in a strikeout last season (22.3 percent), this season is winding up to set another record: If the to-date strike...

The folks at The Washington Post’s Fact Checker recently hit a data-collection milestone. In late April, its count of false or misleading claims that President Trump has made since taking office passed 10,000. In this installment of the FiveThirtyE...

When it was announced this week that Seattle Storm point guard Sue Bird would miss the 2019 WNBA season with a knee injury, it was just the latest in a long line of maladies that have struck the league this year. In addition to Bird, the sport has se...

Some presidential candidates like to put all of their eggs in one early-state basket. Chris Dodd moved his entire family to Des Moines. Jon Huntsman shunned the cornfields of Iowa and held more than 100 events in New Hampshire. And Rudy Giuliani most...

Although the Eastern Conference finals are still tied at two games apiece, we’re already looking ahead to the NBA Finals. In the video above, FiveThirtyEight’s Neil Paine wonders which team would be a tougher matchup for the Warriors: the Buc...

You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. 3 minutes President Trump walked out of a meeting with the Democratic congressional leadership yesterday after roughly three minutes, upset that Speaker Nancy...

I have a dilemma for you, dear reader. I have a righteous little bulletpoint-sized rant to make about ill-informed media coverage of polling in the recent Australian election. But this column, Silver Bulletpoints, promises to give you three items abo...