FiveThirtyEight

Blog URL:http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
Blog Tags:politics, analysis, statistics, predictions, forecast, government, elections

In-depth analysis and statistical models on political happenings



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The SEC Championship game on Saturday saw Alabama beat Florida to win the conference, as well as a spot in the College Football Playoff. Lower down the list of accolades was one we’d been following over the past month or so: The Crimson Tide became...

This is In Real Terms, a regular column analyzing the latest economic news. Comments? Criticisms? Ideas for future columns? Email me, or drop a note in the comments. The U.S. gained 178,000 jobs in November. But the only ones anyone seemed to be talk...

This week, the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team talks about the big post-election forum hosted by Harvard’s Institute of Politics, which brought the top brass from the Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump campaigns together, along with the med...

Every 10 years, after the census is complete, legislators in statehouses across the country embark on a time-honored tradition: remapping the boundaries of their states’ voting districts, usually to the benefit of the people doing the remapping. Ge...

Heading into college football’s conference championship week, we knew three schools (Alabama, Clemson and Washington) could basically punch tickets to the College Football Playoff with victories in their respective conference title games. The only...

You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. 19 percent less bandwidth Netflix has started letting users download shows and movies to view offline — which somehow uses less bandwidth than regular st...

There are a few basic rules for the shape of congressional districts. They’re supposed to be contiguous and as compact as possible, for example. They’re supposed to try to preserve other political subdivisions, such as county lines. But the more...