FiveThirtyEight

Blog URL:http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
Blog Tags:politics, analysis, statistics, predictions, forecast, government, elections

In-depth analysis and statistical models on political happenings



Latest Blog Posts



Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll of the week Recently things have been looking up for D.C.-statehood advocates. Almost every 2020 Democratic presidential candidate has expressed support for making the nation’s capital the 5...

For seven years, Bryce Harper was an integral part of the Washington Nationals both on and off the field. Harper remains the team’s fourth-best player by wins above replacement since the franchise moved from Montreal to Washington in 2005, trailing...

Pennsylvania arguably tied Wisconsin as the tipping point state in 2016, according to FiveThirtyEight’s tipping-point calculation. And in the run-up to the 2020 presidential election, both parties are already taking the Keystone State seriously. Pr...

You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. $15 The House voted 231-199 on Thursday to raise the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour from $7.25 by the year 2025. However, the bill will run up against a m...

Welcome to The Riddler. Every week, I offer up problems related to the things we hold dear around here: math, logic and probability. There are two types: Riddler Express for those of you who want something bite-size and Riddler Classic for those of y...

Over the course of his 16-year NBA career, there are several characteristics that have come to define LeBron James-led teams. The first is the constant presence of James himself: LeBron played in at least 84 percent of his team’s games each season,...