FiveThirtyEight

Blog URL:http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
Blog Tags:politics, analysis, statistics, predictions, forecast, government, elections

In-depth analysis and statistical models on political happenings



Latest Blog Posts



When and if the Major League Baseball season begins — whether in May in fanless Arizona stadiums or at some other point — it may come with a completely different playoff format. Even before the COVID-19 pandemic halted play, the sport was...

There is a simple explanation for why Sen. Bernie Sanders, who officially suspended his presidential campaign on Wednesday, lost the Democratic nomination: Former Vice President Joe Biden trounced the Vermont senator when the race narrowed to a one-o...

Graphics by Ryan Best The coronavirus crisis is testing almost every facet of American life, including the country’s social safety net. For generations politicians have proposed (and haggled over) ways to help people during a garden-variety recessi...

In mid-February, Wall Street was celebrating the stock market reaching record highs. But the stock market has since lost roughly 20 percent of its value in the wake of the coronavirus, and the broader economy is in freefall as well. A record number o...

Sen. Bernie Sanders announced Wednesday that he is suspending his campaign for president of the United States. In this emergency installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses why he lost, why he decided to drop out when he d...

Amid the global coronavirus outbreak and over the objections of a governor who tried to stop in-person voting at the last minute, Wisconsin held its election Tuesday for the Democratic presidential nomination, the state Supreme Court and several loca...

Rumblings continue about how and when leagues will be able to start playing again, even in a limited fashion. President Trump got in on that action, hosting a conference call for most major sports leagues (and also the WWE, for some reason). The Hot...