FiveThirtyEight

Blog URL:http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
Blog Tags:politics, analysis, statistics, predictions, forecast, government, elections

In-depth analysis and statistical models on political happenings



Latest Blog Posts



The Trump administration on Tuesday released an aggressive plan to stop illegal immigration, warning that all of the estimated 11 million undocumented immigrants currently living in the United States are subject to deportation at any time. Two memora...

In this week’s politics chat, we look back on the first month of President Trump’s tenure and talk about what we were most surprised by. The transcript below has been lightly edited.   micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): Welcome! Today’s...

On the morning of Nov. 30, 1911, 15 days from becoming the first human to reach the South Pole, the Norwegian explorer Roald Amundsen walked out of his tent and into a scene from “Frozen.” The fog of the previous days had lifted. The sun was shin...

Welcome to Four-Point Play, our weekly NBA column that pieces together four statistical trends from around the league and lays out what they tell us about where a team has been or where it’s heading. Find a stat you think should be included here? E...

President Trump earlier this month announced a new effort to impose harsh penalties on people who hurt or kill police officers. But even some former officers say the policy isn’t likely to have much of an effect. During the presidential campaign, T...

You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. I’ve been informed that yesterday was the 538th edition of Significant Digits. I regret the error of not pointing that one out. 1 bull A bull escaped a s...