FiveThirtyEight

Blog URL:http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
Blog Tags:politics, analysis, statistics, predictions, forecast, government, elections

In-depth analysis and statistical models on political happenings



Latest Blog Posts



You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. Sunday night is the Oscars on ABC, so be sure to check FiveThirtyEight for our coverage of the odds going into the big show. 0.1 percent Percentage of U.S. gro...

Welcome to The Riddler. Every week, I offer up problems related to the things we hold dear around here: math, logic and probability. There are two types: Riddler Express for those of you who want something bite-sized and Riddler Classic for those of...

Mars Needs Lawyers

on Feb 24, 2017

The Liberian flag is easy to mistake for the U.S. flag. There’s the red, white and blue. There’s the stripes. The only difference is that the Liberian flag features one star in the upper left corner, instead of 50 — a legacy of the coastal...

Meryl Streep is one of America’s finest actresses. Even though she bristles at a sweeping superlative — don’t call her the greatest living actress, that’s too much pressure — she’s earned a record-setting number of Oscar acting no...

When most political followers hear “Republican senator” and “maverick,” they probably think of John McCain. He ran as part of a “team of mavericks” with Sarah Palin in 2008, after all. But whether or not McCain deserves the “maverick”...

Welcome to TrumpBeat, FiveThirtyEight’s weekly feature looking at how developments in Washington affect people in the real world. Want to get TrumpBeat in your inbox each week? Sign up for our newsletter. Comments, criticism or suggestions for futu...

Last year, FiveThirtyEight held a bakeoff between eight people who thought they could chip away at the secrecy surrounding the Academy Awards by building predictive models. Now that we’re days away from this year’s Oscars, we brought in two of th...