FiveThirtyEight

Blog URL:http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
Blog Tags:politics, analysis, statistics, predictions, forecast, government, elections

In-depth analysis and statistical models on political happenings



Latest Blog Posts



In the first quarter of a scoreless 2016 AFC Championship game against the New England Patriots, Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos faced third-and-6 from their own 44-yard line. Wide receiver Demaryius Thomas ran a 15-yard out, breaking toward th...

Andy Puzder, the fast-food executive whom Donald Trump has nominated to be his labor secretary, is emerging as one of the president-elect’s most controversial Cabinet picks. Labor groups are organizing against Puzder over his positions on the minim...

You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. 8 percent Share of the time in the 2016 fiscal year that the New York Police Department made an arrest in a hit-and-run crash where someone was injured. In fat...

Earlier this week, the Vera Institute of Justice released a report showing that New Orleans’s bail system was costly for criminal defendants — and for the city, which was spending more money to jail people who couldn’t pay bail, fines a...

Rex Tillerson, Donald Trump’s pick to be secretary of state, promised Wednesday during his confirmation hearing to restore the United States’ lost leadership role and fix the country’s damaged reputation on the world stage. At a press conferenc...

Welcome to The Riddler. Every week, I offer up problems related to the things we hold dear around here: math, logic and probability. There are two types: Riddler Express for those of you who want something bite-sized and Riddler Classic for those of...

The most anticipated matchup of the divisional round of the NFL playoffs might be the Atlanta Falcons’ No. 1 scoring offense against the Seattle Seahawks’ No. 3 scoring defense. But the game between the two teams may be decided when the ball is i...